Less than a month ago, the Kansas City Chiefs were 3-4 in the basement of AFC West. Their situation has changed completely, however, as they are now first in the division thanks to a series of three consecutive victories. The Chiefs (6-4) will look to extend the winning streak when they host the Dallas Cowboys (7-2) leaders of the NFC East on Sunday. Kansas City claimed a 41-14 victory in Las Vegas last week, while Dallas defeated Atlanta 43-3 at home. Cowboys wide receiver Amari Cooper is out due to COVID-19.
Arrowhead Stadium kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the total points scored is 56.5. Before locking down the Cowboys vs Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up nearly $ 7,500 per 100 top-rated players. NFL pick since its inception over six years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on the NFL’s top picks stretching back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on NFL direct picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick ’em players four times during that time. Whoever followed him is very high.
Now the model has simulated Chefs vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and just revealed his coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and the betting lines for Cowboys vs Chiefs:
- Gap between Chiefs and Cowboys: Kansas City -2.5
- Over-under Chiefs vs Cowboys: 56.5 points
- Chiefs vs Cowboys Money Line: Kansas City -140, Dallas +120
- KC: Chiefs are 5-16 ATS in last 21 games
- DAL: Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in last nine games
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys
Why chefs can cover
Patrick Mahomes appeared to be back to normal last week after a string of patchy performances. The former NFL MVP had 35 of 50 passing attempts for a high of 406 yards and five touchdowns, marking the second time this year he’s thrown so many scoring passes. It was the 30th time Mahomes had racked up 300 yards, overtaking Kurt Warner (29) for most in the first five years of a career.
Darrel Williams only gained 43 yards on 11 carries against the Raiders, but had a remarkable game for Kansas City out of backfield. The 26-year-old LSU made nine catches, including one for a touchdown, as he hit triple-digit receiving yards for the first time in his career with 101. Tight end Travis Kelce also provided a big effort, carrying in eight passes for 119 yards, his third 100-yard outing in 2021 and the first since week three against the Los Angeles Chargers.
Why the Cowboys can cover
Dallas hit the 40-point mark for the third time this season in its Falcons rout and leads the NFL with an average of 31.6 per game. The Cowboys set the franchise record for most points in one quarter scoring 29 points in second and posted their biggest halftime lead in 50 years with a 36-3 cushion. Dak Prescott ran for a touchdown and threw two goals, scoring the sixth consecutive game and the seventh time in eight outings this season that he has made two or more touchdown passes.
It was the 17th time Prescott had scored a pass and ground touchdown in the same game, the fourth by a player in his first six years in the league behind Cam Newton’s 35, Daunte Culpepper’s 20 and Josh Allen’s 19. CeeDee Lamb, who had six catches for 94 yards and two touchdowns last week, posted his three 100-yard performances this year on the road. His wide mate Michael Gallup gives Prescott another option as he returned to action against Atlanta and had three receptions for 42 yards after missing the previous seven games with calf strain.
How to make choices between Cowboys and Falcons
The SportsLine model leans below the total, projecting the teams to combine for 54 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap reaches more than 50% of the time. You can only see the Chiefs vs. Model’s Cowboys on SportsLine.
So who wins Cowboys vs. Chiefs? And which side of the spread cash in more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side the Cowboys vs. Chiefs stretches to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model which is up nearly $ 7,500 on its NFL picks, and find out.