Modeling – Personal Model Management Sat, 18 Sep 2021 02:53:47 +0000 en-US hourly 1 Modeling – Personal Model Management 32 32 Colorado COVID-19: Modeling shows 5th wave, 1 in 99 infected Sat, 18 Sep 2021 02:53:47 +0000

DENVER (KDVR) – A new modeling report for the spread of COVID-19 in Colorado estimates that one in 99 people in the state is infected with COVID-19, marking a fifth wave of infections.

The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment and the Colorado School of Public Health released the new modeling report on Friday, which estimates COVID-19 infections are at their highest level for 2021 in Colorado.

“Depending on the scenario, the range of deaths from COVID-19 through December 1 is approximately 1,000 to 2,000,” the report estimates.

By increasing transmission control by 10% through means like wearing a mask, it is estimated that 3,100 COVID-19-related hospitalizations and 390 deaths could be prevented, the group wrote.

“State data and modeling indicate that we are not quite out of the woods just yet,” said state epidemiologist Dr Rachel Herlihy. “In the short term, transmission control measures, such as masking and social distancing, will continue to reduce peak hospital demand. Over the longer term, increasing immunization rates will continue to be critical in reducing the demand for hospitals and saving lives. “

COVID-19 hospitalizations in Colorado have passed the April 2020 peak, but the modeling group said it “expects hospital demand to remain below the December 2020 peak,” assuming a speeding up of the number of people receiving the vaccine.

The report also estimates that 70% of Coloradans were immune on Friday, either through vaccination or previous infection.

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Usefulness of 3D Product Modeling for Ecommerce Businesses Sat, 18 Sep 2021 00:58:55 +0000

It changes internet shopping. To distinguish themselves in a competitive market, companies are increasingly turning to new creative technologies. 3D product modeling is a leading visual marketing approach that can motivate consumers. 3D technology often coexists with augmented reality (AR).

There are already big advantages to using 3D models for e-commerce and AR. We have researched that using 3D models increases average time on a website by 21%, with a conversion rate of 33% while developing 3D representations of its products.

Benefits of 3D product design

For a beginner, turning your products online into 3D models can seem overwhelming and technologically complex.

Fortunately, you might have some of the photos needed to create 3D models. Even if you don’t, the benefits of 3D product modeling outweigh the costs.

Model your goods in 3D

3D models surpass conventional photography in terms of realism.

3D models allow you to show your goods from all angles, giving customers more knowledge than 2D photographs. 3D models are precise in terms of size, shape and color and can be used to create augmented reality experiences, which allow consumers to see products at home.

3D models on product websites help customers select the right products by giving them a realistic view of the product in many colors. 3D models allow customers to test before they buy.

3D product modeling for display advertising

Create a display ad using your 3D inventory models. It’s now much easier with Google Swirl, a new tool for creating beautiful 3D ads.

MG Motor has partnered with Poplar Studio to develop a compelling 3D advertisement for its compact crossover SUV that allows viewers to zoom, turn and move around the vehicle.

The campaign had an interaction rate eight times that of rich media. These results are typical of a 3D display advertising. Customers are 27% more likely to buy after interacting with a 3D model and 66% more likely to buy after seeing a product in AR.

3D product modeling improves Google rankings

Including 3D models is an easy method to improve your website’s SEO. Google now searches websites for 3D models and favors those that use the technology.

3D product modeling gives you an advantage

So it’s no surprise that having 3D models on your retail site gives you a competitive edge over others who use images or videos.

Over 80% of consumers use 3D views on product pages. An interactive 3D representation is preferred by over 90% of consumers. 3D models have also been shown to double the conversion rates of product pages.

With the ability to create color variations, animations, and immersive VR experiences from the same 3D model, turning your assets into 3D models can be a worthwhile one-time investment.

How to start

How can you convert your existing product catalog into 3D product modeling?

As said before, all you need are high quality photos. To make the process as easy as possible, engage with an agency who can supply high quality materials quickly and affordably.

When comparing similar services, keep in mind that most use an in-house team of 3D modelers. Unfortunately, this setup limits their ability to scale and create better products quickly.

In addition, widely accessible 3D scanners for photogrammetry will drive much of this development. This technique is fast and inexpensive, but it has limitations, such as the reflection of tiny and complex materials and features that require human 3D work on the part of designers.

]]> 0 EPA Recommends Further Study of Genesee Township Asphalt Plant Project Fri, 17 Sep 2021 12:32:00 +0000

GENESEE TOWNSHIP, Mich. (WJRT) – Federal environmental regulators recommend more studies before plans for a new Ajax Materials asphalt plant in Genesee Township are approved.

The Environmental Protection Agency said the proposed Ajax plant on Energy Drive near the city limit of Flint would go to an area already facing air quality issues. However, the company still needs a state air quality permit to open the plant.

Federal regulators believe the Michigan Department of the Environment, Great Lakes and Energy should weigh Ajax’s plans against existing air quality issues at other nearby industrial facilities to provide an assessment complete environmental effects.

The EPA notes that Ajax’s air quality modeling does not adequately consider all sources of stacks and fugitive emissions.

“The neighborhood around the proposed asphalt plant has some of the highest levels in the state of Michigan for many pollution indicators used by the EPA’s Environmental Justice Scout Tool …” , says a letter from EPA’s Acting Regional Administrator Cheryl Newton to an air quality regulator. .

The EPA also recommends that state environmental regulators address concerns about the plant outside the scope of an air quality permit, including possible civil rights issues. Newton noted that state regulators had asked Ajax to consider other sites, but the company apparently refused.

The Michigan Department of the Environment, Great Lakes and Energy can still approve the air quality permit for Ajax. If this happens, the EPA recommends that regulators and the company work together on a website to provide plant air quality data in a form that is easily accessible online.

Copyright 2021 WJRT. All rights reserved.

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Computer Animation and Modeling Software Market Size, Growth and Analysis by Major Key Players – Autodesk, Apple Inc, Google, SAAB Thu, 16 Sep 2021 22:42:31 +0000

The latest recently published study, The Global Computer Animation and Modeling Software Market forecast period, 2021-2028. According to the study, the global computer animation and modeling software market was valued at XX USD and is expected to reach XX USD by 2027, exceeding only XX USD and an average of XX% per year during the period forecast. This research report provides a comprehensive perspective of the market with detailed insights into drivers, restraints, opportunities, trends and challenges, key factors that can affect targeted market results over the years.

The market reports provide a concise overview of the segments and sub-segments including product types, applications, players, and regions which provide key aspects of the market. The report focuses on the performance impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and provides the current market and takes an in-depth look at the market conditions. The report was able to conduct an in-depth study of market dynamics, changing consumer behavior, and flow of global supply chains affected by the market. This important information on reporting objectives provides clients with solid guidance in obtaining insight into their trading decisions from their investment market in order to assess factors that may affect current and future market conditions.

Competition analysis

This report provides a comprehensive view of the competitive environment of the Computer Animation and Modeling Software market and includes a detailed description of the global key players’ performance achieved in the market. It provides the latest updated list of several business strategies including mergers, acquisitions, partnerships, product launches, manufacturing unit expansions and collaborations adopted by these major global players. The report provides a clear picture of large companies’ R&D investments and adoption of innovative technologies to broaden their consumer base and extend their existing competitiveness. Furthermore, the report provides detailed information about the position of new entrants or players in the market, the extent of growth, and opportunities.

The research focuses on the current market size of the Computer Animation and Modeling Software market and its growth rates on the basis of records with company broad outlines of key players / manufacturers:

The Major Players Covered By The Computer Animation And Modeling Software Markets:

  • Autodesk
  • Apple Inc
  • Google
  • SAAB
  • Intermap Technologies
  • 3D Cybercity
  • ESRI
  • Topcon Corporation
  • Trimble
  • Airbus Defense and Space
  • Foundry
  • Pixological
  • NewTek
  • Foundation Blender
  • 3D coat
  • MAXON Computer GmbH
  • Softree
  • Bentley Systems
  • Incorporated

Computer animation and modeling software market segmentation:

Computer Animation and Modeling Software market is split by Type and by Application. For the period 2021-2028, the cross-industry growth provides accurate calculations and sales forecast by type and application in terms of volume and value. This analysis can help you grow your business by targeting qualified niche markets.

Computer Animation and Modeling Software Market Split by Type:

Computer Animation and Modeling Software Market Split by Application:

  • Construction goals
  • Automobile industry
  • Transport industry
  • Video entertainment
  • Others

Scope of Computer Animation and Modeling Software Market Report

Report attribute Details
Market size available for years 2021 – 2028
Reference year considered 2021
Historical data 2015 – 2019
Forecast period 2021 – 2028
Quantitative units Revenue in millions of USD and CAGR from 2021 to 2027
Covered segments Types, applications, end users, etc.
Cover of the report Revenue forecast, company ranking, competitive landscape, growth factors and trends
Regional scope North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa
Scope of customization Free customization of the report (equivalent to 8 working days for analysts) with purchase. Add or change the scope of country, region and segment.
Price and purchase options Take advantage of personalized shopping options to meet your exact research needs. Explore purchasing options

The regional analysis of Computer Animation and Modeling Software market can be represented as follows:

Each regional computer animation and modeling software industry is carefully studied to understand its current and future growth scenarios. It helps the players to strengthen their position. Use market research to gain a better perspective and understanding of the market and target audience and to ensure you stay ahead of the competition.

Geographically, the global computer animation and modeling software market has segmented as follows:

  • North America includes the United States, Canada and Mexico
  • Europe includes Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain
  • South America includes Colombia, Argentina, Nigeria and Chile
  • Asia-Pacific includes Japan, China, Korea, India, Saudi Arabia and Southeast Asia

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The study thoroughly explores the profiles of the major market players and their main financial aspects. This comprehensive business analysis report is useful for all new entrants and new entrants as they design their business strategies. This report covers the production, revenue, market share and growth rate of the Computer Animation and Modeling Software market for each key company, and covers the breakdown data (production, consumption, revenue and market share). ) by regions, type and applications. Historical computer animation and modeling software breakdown data from 2016 to 2020 and forecast to 2021-2029.

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Rising seas will change the coast and the groundwater beneath your feet – Orange County Register Thu, 16 Sep 2021 13:00:05 +0000

While concerns about rising sea levels have generally focused on washing the oceans on previously dry land, higher seas are also raising the coastal water table – and this could expose many more Californians and their belongings. to the effects of climate change than land flooding.

Miami is already experiencing such groundwater flooding. The Atlantic Ocean has risen enough to steadily push groundwater levels so that they penetrate the earth’s surface daily in some neighborhoods, US Geological Survey coastal geologist Patrick Barnard told the Commission coastal state during a multi-agency presentation on the issue. 8.

“Low-lying areas like reclaimed ports and estuaries – as we have in northern Orange County and the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach – have very shallow groundwater today and by now. end of the century, that will become even more problematic, ”Barnard said.

“It will be a complex issue where it is not just about land flooding, but also the daily impacts of this groundwater hazard.”

With a sea level rise of 6.6 feet, 600,000 people in the state and $ 200 billion in property would be threatened by land flooding in a century-old storm, according to current modeling. But with the same sea level rise, 4 million people and $ 1.1 trillion in property could be exposed to higher groundwater daily – not just during a storm, he said.

Rising groundwater would threaten seven times more roads than land flooding and nine times more critical facilities, including schools, hospitals and police stations, he said. Damage could include flooded basements, disabled drainage, damage to underground pipes and sewage systems, and undermined platforms. Unlike land-based flooding, dikes and similar barriers cannot protect against rising groundwater.

New modeling presented to the Coastal Commission examines groundwater levels relative to sea level, using a color-coded map to show vulnerabilities for each part of the coast. A slider tool allows the online user to see a rough estimate of the degree of susceptibility ranging from no sea level rise to 16.4 feet of elevation. (Users can also see the same information for surface flooding and associated risks.)

However, this first step in groundwater modeling does not yet identify the local geology – especially the permeability of the earth – or the local effects of precipitation. These factors also play an important role.

As a result, part of the harbor as well as some residential areas of Long Beach, Seal Beach and Huntington Beach are shown on the modeling map as already subject to groundwater seepage at the surface. But such a violation is largely – if not entirely – absent so far. Barnard said the discrepancy was because other local conditions had not yet been collected and incorporated into the models.

Nonetheless, the information now available should alert on the need to prepare for a future surge in groundwater, he said.

“A lot of research is currently underway to translate this into what the impacts really mean,” he said. “This work (presented now) will hopefully put that danger on the map and we can begin to look for solutions for these different dangers across the state.”

Growing threat

The state’s Oceans Protection Council, which provides agencies with benchmarks of sea level rise, has recommended preparing for an ocean rise of 3.5 feet by 2050, even s ‘He only recognizes a 1 in 200 chance of this happening. That puts the same chance that the state will experience a 6.6-foot rise by 2100.

For transport and sewage infrastructure, the Coastal Commission has suggested planning for a sea level rise of 10 feet by 2100 due to the long-term planning required as well as the critical role this infrastructure plays. The credentials of both agencies have been criticized for being too extreme.

But even estimates from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change provide evidence of the growing threat and were cited by Barnard in his presentation to the Coast Commission. It also included input from the commission’s climatology researchers, Point Blue Conservation Science and the University of Arkansas.

Barnard is among those who have called the UN estimates conservative, optimistic and optimal scenarios.

Among the data from the UN panel is the finding that the rate of sea level rise has approximately tripled since 1971 and is currently 0.15 inches per year.

“Global mean sea level has risen faster since 1900 than in any previous century for at least the past 3,000 years,” according to the panel’s sixth assessment report. “The world’s surface temperature has risen more rapidly since 1970 than in any other 50-year period in at least the past 2,000 years. … Sea levels are set to rise for centuries or even millennia due to continued warming of the oceans and melting ice caps, and will remain high for thousands of years.

More immediately, the past six years have been the six hottest on record, according to the World Meteorological Organization’s State of the World Climate 2020, released this year.

Emerging awareness

Cities, ports, and other public agencies in Southern California’s most vulnerable stretches are realizing the threat of groundwater. But if these agencies are alarmed by the prospect, few are suggesting.

Climate change resilience studies conducted by these entities – where such plans exist – usually briefly, if at all, mention the threat of an increase in groundwater. A sea level adaptation in 2018 by the Port of Los Angeles does not address the problem.

“However, the port intends to address this in future studies as we continuously monitor sea level rise,” port engineer Adrienne Fedrick Newbold said in an email.

The 192-page City of Long Beach’s proposed climate action and adaptation plan, completed last year, does not mention the possibility of an increase in groundwater, although it is mentioned in the appendix. .

Rising sea level “causes salt water intrusion into underground reservoirs, increasing historical groundwater elevation ranges beyond what Long Beach utilities were planned and built for. adapt, ”notes the appendix.

Alison Spindler-Ruiz, head of city planning, added that future studies “will allow us to study these issues in more detail and come up with more detailed recommendations and plans for implementation.”

The Orange County Sanitation District 2019 Climate Resilience Study briefly mentions the potential for groundwater infiltration with a brief recommendation to consider the threat to “below-grade structures such as dry wells, subsoil, reservoirs and tunnels ”.

Deputy District Director General Rob Thompson said most of his agency’s infrastructure has a lifespan of 50 to 75 years and the latest scientific data on sea level rise is taken into account when each is built or rebuilt. He noted that the new digesters at his coastal wastewater treatment plant in Huntington Beach will be higher off the ground because of this.

What about future groundwater flooding?

“The practical problem we face is relatively minor,” he said. Of greater concern is the effect of seismic activity on underground and overhead facilities – and strengthening them can also help protect against rising water tables, Thompson said.

“Most of our critical infrastructure is designed with geotechnical considerations in mind,” he said. “But for residential and commercial development, this is something they might want to consider.”

Matt Arms, director of environmental planning for the Port of Long Beach, acknowledged the area’s shallow groundwater and said the port takes the most recent data into account during construction.

“We use the best science available to inform and adjust the design of our projects as necessary,” Arms said via email. “As we redevelop and modernize the port, we always take into account the expected effects of climate change. “

Barnard of the USGS, meanwhile, said that while the new modeling and assessments are preliminary, they provide an alert that rising groundwater needs more attention.

“It’s not for engineering,” he said. “It’s not about saying, ‘You should design buildings differently.’ This provides potential red flags that must be investigated. “

To view map modeling of areas vulnerable to rising groundwater, visit Under “Scenario Topic”, use the drop-down list and select “Groundwater”. You can zoom the map, select your city of interest, adjust the amount of sea level rise and soil permeability.

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Gallagher Re launches automated analysis platform Wed, 15 Sep 2021 09:11:46 +0000

Global reinsurance broker Gallagher Re has announced the launch of Gallagher Automated Insurance Analytics (GAIA), a proprietary automated analysis platform.

GAIA is a single, integrated platform that hosts all analytics capabilities in one place, said Gallagher Re. The company estimated that combining all functionality on a single platform could reduce by up to 80 % the time required to generate the same level of information using multiple tools.

The advantages of the platform include:

  • Scalability: Using cloud-based technology, GAIA will be able to scale rapidly and globally, and can adapt to Gallagher Re’s growth plans, allowing easy expansion across geographies, industries and sectors. ‘activity and several business units
  • Unique insights: By aggregating and analyzing all of Gallagher’s data, GAIA can offer unique insights into the portfolios and underlying business lines through automated peer analysis, data quality scoring, portfolio optimization and pricing tools.
  • Multi-model view: Clients will have access to a multi-model and more nuanced view of risk through rapid translation of data between disaster modeling platforms and visualization of all risks and portfolios. Clients can refine their view of risk by adjusting modeled exits
  • Operational efficiency: Analysts will be able to spend more time on high-value customer interactions as opposed to manipulating data

GAIA’s capabilities as a single, integrated platform will be developed in three key tranches:

  • Pre-modeling: data collection, enrichment, augmentation and intelligence
  • Modeling: automated and integrated workflows through multi-model APIs and machine learning
  • Post-modeling: pricing, portfolio optimization, e-placement and market overview

“The large investments and rapid development of our broker modeling capability seen around the turn of the century was just the first wave of reinsurance analytical power and potential,” said Ed Messer (pictured above), head of analysis at Gallagher Re. “Value-added analysis consulting, which goes far beyond the reinsurance transaction, is now an accepted and expected part of the customer offering. But many of these legacy systems are bulky and expensive to maintain today; they are struggling to keep pace with technological change. At GAIA, we offer a strategic, long-term alternative that uses the latest cloud-based technology and can be quickly and easily scaled in a thoughtful, commercially viable and impactful way. Our mission is to eradicate low value button-clicking analytics and instead focus on providing higher value consulting services. “

Read more : Gallagher acquires Chicago-area company

“Pushing the boundaries of innovation and creating customer-centric solutions is part of our DNA at Gallagher Re,” said Tom Wakefield, CEO-designate of Gallagher Re. “Above all, innovation requires investing in people. better minds, and that’s exactly what we did, adding new capabilities to existing layers of expertise. Our team now brings together the best talent in the industry in terms of analytical experience, reinsurance architects, actuarial expertise and disaster management. GAIA is the result: a fully scalable global platform that leverages cloud-based technology and that will eliminate a huge amount of inefficiency from current reinsurance analysis practices. This means more time spent advising clients and discussing ideas gleaned from GAIA, and less time turning the handles. GAIA will be a game-changer in the world of reinsurance analysis.

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Oregon reports 2,453 new cases of COVID-19; Latest modeling shows good news Fri, 10 Sep 2021 22:47:00 +0000

PORTLAND, Oregon – 1,148 Oregonians are hospitalized Friday with COVID-19.

It’s two less than Thursday.

280 of these patients are in intensive care.

It’s eight less than Thursday.

The Oregon Health Authority says there are now 64 adult intensive care beds available and 342 NON-ICU adult beds available statewide.

The OHA is also today reporting 2,453 new cases and 20 more deaths linked to the virus.

The new confirmed and suspected COVID-19 cases reported today are in the following counties: Baker (37), Benton (38), Clackamas (139), Clatsop (7), Columbia (38), Coos (34) , Crook (31), Curry (8), Deschutes (199), Douglas (129), Grant (12), Harney (11), Hood River (7), Jackson (156), Jefferson (23), Joséphine (77 ), Klamath (44), Lake (12), Lane (248), Lincoln (42), Linn (173), Malheur (24), Marion (201), Morrow (8), Multnomah (246), Polk (67 ), Sherman (1), Tillamook (37), Umatilla (89), Union (43), Wallowa (9), Wasco (28), Washington (190) and Yamhill (45).

Oregon’s 3,395th COVID-19 death is a 63-year-old man from Crook County who tested positive on September 1 and died on September 9. The place of death is being confirmed. He had no underlying condition.

Oregon’s 3,396th COVID-19 death is a 94-year-old woman from Crook County who tested positive on August 23 and died on September 8 at her residence. She had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,397th COVID-19 death is a 92-year-old woman from Clackamas County who tested positive on August 25 and died on September 9 at Legacy Meridian Park Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

The 3,398th death from COVID-19 in Oregon is a 78-year-old Jackson County man who tested positive on August 13 and died on September 8 at Asante Ashland Community Hospital. He had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,399th COVID-19 death is a 53-year-old Jackson County woman who tested positive on August 20 and died on September 9 at Providence Medford Medical Center. She had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,400th COVID-19 death is a 76-year-old Lane County man who tested positive on August 30 and died on September 9 at his residence. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,401st COVID-19 death is an 80-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on September 8 and died on September 8 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,402nd COVID-19 death is an 81-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 29 and died on September 8 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,403rd COVID-19 death is a 76-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 23 and died on September 8 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,404th COVID-19 death is a 63-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 24 and died on September 9 at Providence Medford Medical Center. He had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,405th COVID-19 death is a 47-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 21 and died on September 9 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,406th COVID-19 death is an 84-year-old man from Marion County who tested positive on September 1 and died on September 9 in Salem Hospital. He had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 3,407th COVID-19 death is a 66-year-old woman from Multnomah County who tested positive on September 2 and died on September 8 at Legacy Emanuel Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,408th COVID-19 death is an 80-year-old woman from Multnomah County who tested positive on August 30 and died on September 4 at Adventist Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,409th COVID-19 death is an 87-year-old woman from Multnomah County who tested positive on August 31 and died on September 6 at Adventist Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,410th COVID-19 death is a 64-year-old man from Yamhill County who tested positive on September 1 and died on September 8 at Willamette Valley Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,411th COVID-19 death is a 52-year-old woman from Yamhill County who tested positive on August 24 and died on August 27 at her residence. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,412th COVID-19 death is a 71-year-old man from Yamhill County who tested positive on August 21 and died on September 1 at Willamette Valley Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

Oregon’s 3,413th COVID-19 death is a 74-year-old Lincoln County woman who tested positive on August 29 and died on September 1 at Good Samaritan Regional Medical Center. She had underlying conditions.

The 3,414th COVID-19 death in Oregon is a 79-year-old Lincoln County woman who tested positive on August 21 and died on August 31 at Samaritan Pacific Communities Hospital. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.

New modeling shows good news

The Oregon Health Authority predicts an upcoming drop in new cases and daily hospitalizations.

That’s because the state’s reproduction rate declined to 0.88 on August 25.

If this rate continues, the OHA estimates an average of around 1,500 new daily cases and 80 hospitalizations between September 15 and September 28.

However, that number is what the OHA calls optimistic.

If you factor in the assumptions about reopening schools and public events, new cases could average just under 2,000 per day and 107 hospitalizations over the same period.

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Pandemic: Modeling Shows COVID Slowing Down, But Still “Very Dangerous and Unpredictable” | New Wed, 08 Sep 2021 02:00:00 +0000

Oregon health officials confirm the latest modeling shows COVID-19 cases are slowing.

“But we can’t rest on our laurels,” said Dr. Dean Sidelinger, an Oregon epidemiologist. “It’s not an on-off solution. It’s a darker solution. We need to be prepared if COVID reappears. Whether it’s the current Delta variant or future variants that may not even be known yet. They might come back with a vengeance. “

The latest modeling shows COVD-19 cases in Oregon are slowing, but Governor Brown and state health officials warn the latest increases are largely in those who are not vaccinated.

And after?

Sidelinger commented during a press briefing on Tuesday, September 7 with Gov. Kate Brown, and said that while the new modeling offers encouragement, some people are taking less precautions and he stressed that the unvaccinated should be vaccinated and wearing face coverings in public buildings. and outside when among the crowds will be the key to slowing the pandemic in the coming weeks.

“This is a crisis that is largely brought on by people who are not vaccinated against COVUD-19,” Slidelinger said. “The decisions we make over the next few weeks will determine whether we get deeper into this crisis. “

Gov. Kate Brown said because more Oregonians masked themselves and continued to be vaccinated, the expected duration of the last wave was reduced. However, she said, there are still hard times ahead.

“And we have to stay vigilant,” Brown said. “Every action you take has an impact on how it plays out. Every time you mask yourself you are helping our doctors and nurses do their jobs. Every time you mask yourself you are helping our children return to school in a safer way. And every time you hide, you are helping to keep our businesses and communities open. “

Brown said COVID-19 is still “very dangerous and unpredictable,” and new federal research confirms COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective.

Colt Gill of the Oregon Department of Education (ODE) told reporters that the pandemic health and safety protocols now in place will help ensure that in-person learning continues throughout the ‘school year.

“The protocols that we have in place with state masking and vaccination guidelines, we’re really doing a lot to make sure COVID doesn’t start in our schools,” he said, adding that everyone has a responsibility to help keep children in school by getting vaccinated, wearing masks and limiting large gatherings.

ODE Notice

For families with children returning to school, Gill said the ODE has published the following five simple back-to-school tips:

  • Develop a plan to immunize all eligible household members
  • Wear a face cover in public and when carpooling
  • Limit gatherings with other households
  • Move all social activities outside
  • Make a plan in case your child has to miss school

The Oregon Health Authority (OHA) and ODE have issued the following school health advisory, which will remain in effect statewide from September 7 to October 1, unless updated otherwise:

1) All eligible youth and adults who come into contact with school-aged children should be vaccinated to reduce the spread in the school community.

2) Families with school-aged children and educators should limit gatherings and non-essential activities with people from other households as much as possible. If you are visiting people from another household, you should wear a mask, maintain a physical distance of 6 feet, and keep activities outdoors as much as possible.

3) Where possible, schools and other organizations should reduce extracurricular activities and consider organizing activities, such as meals, recess, physical education classes, music and choir, to the outdoors to maximize physical distance. Likewise, if schools and other organizations conduct extracurricular activities, they should consider keeping them outside and implementing additional precautions such as face coverings and physical distancing.

4) Schools should host family start-of-year events (open houses, evenings with teachers, etc.) online rather than in person. If the events are held in person, make sure all attendees wear masks, hold the events outdoors, and maintain a physical distance of 6 feet where possible.

5) Families should check your school’s website or ODE’s Ready Schools, Safe Learners website for your school’s plan for safe return to in-person classes and continuity of service.

‘It’s not about you’

At the end of the press conference, Brown made a statement to all Oregonians.

“It’s not about you,” Brown said. “These are the children under 12 who cannot get the vaccine. This is your friend or neighbor who is battling cancer and for some reason cannot get a vaccine. right now. It’s about our whole community. It’s also about healthcare workers who have been working day and night for weeks, months now to keep the people of Oregon alive. need us to continue to wear our masks.

Latest cases

There are 54 new COVID-19-related deaths in Oregon, bringing the state’s death toll to 3,326, the Oregon Health Authority reported at 12:01 am today.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 5,821 new confirmed and suspected COVID-19 cases as of 12:01 am today, bringing the state total to 289,649. The OHA said 98 of those cases were were located in Columbia County.

The totals reflect data reported by local health authorities over four days, between September 3 and 6.

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Modeling AI on the language of circuits and brain architecture Fri, 03 Sep 2021 18:51:22 +0000

Advances in artificial intelligence research have often been fostered by advances in neuroscience. Indeed, the two fields have frequently borrowed ideas and there are still many successful opportunities to do so in the future.

In a recent review article published in Science, professor of biology and neurobiology at Stanford University Liqun Luo summarizes our current understanding of neural circuits in the brain and how they fit into the architecture of the brain. The review also suggests additional opportunities for artificial intelligence to learn from neuroscience.

“I wanted to define what is known and what is unknown, to stimulate both neuroscience and AI researchers,” he says.

Read the architectures of neural circuits

Luo’s message to AI researchers is this: Neuroscientists still have a long way to go in understanding the various circuit patterns and architectures in the brain and how they interact with each other, but the groundwork has been laid for that AI researchers plan to use a greater variety of patterns and architectures than they currently do – and perhaps even connect multiple circuit architectures together to create the kinds of synergies we see in the brain.

From neurons, to circuit patterns, to architectures

Luo compares the structure of the brain to the building blocks of language. If individual neurons are letters, then circuit patterns are the words they spell, and circuit architectures are the sentences created by a series of words. At each level, says Luo, AI researchers will benefit from a better understanding of how different parts of the brain connect and communicate with each other.

Patterns of synaptic connectivity – the ways in which neurons connect to other neurons – define the first level of generalized information processing principles in the brain – circuit patterns. These include some of the most basic types of neural circuits, such as predictive excitement, which were incorporated into some of the first artificial neural networks ever developed, including perceptrons and deep neural networks.

But Luo also describes other patterns, including feedback inhibition, lateral inhibition, and mutual inhibition. While these patterns can appear in AI systems that use unsupervised learning, where weights are assigned and adjusted during the learning process, Luo questions whether the deliberate incorporation of these patterns into the architecture of AI systems can help further improve their performance.

At a level above the circuit patterns, Luo says, are the “sentences” that these patterns create when organized together in specific brain architectures. For example, continuous topographic mapping is an architecture in which neighboring units of one layer of the brain are connected to neighboring units of the next layer. This approach has been incorporated into AI systems that use convolutional neural networks. Likewise, parallel processing is a type of neural circuit architecture that has been widely adopted in computing in general as well as in a variety of AI systems.

An additional important circuit architecture is dimensionality expansion, in which the inputs of a layer with a small number of units are connected to an intermediate layer with a much larger number of units so that subtle differences in the input layer become more apparent in the intermediate layer for the output layer to be distinguished. Recurrent networks are also important, in which neurons connect to themselves, often through intermediaries. The brain concatenates both dimensionality expansion and recurrent processing in a highly structured way across multiple regions. Understanding and exploiting the design principles governing these combinations of circuit patterns could help AI.

In general, Luo says, “Using my linguistic metaphor, I would say that AI researchers tend to use letters and jump straight to articles without writing the words and phrases in between. In essence, he says, without knowing the middlemen, they always make things work using brute force and a lot of computing power. Maybe neuroscience can help AI researchers open that black box, Luo says.

Going forward: assembling multiple architectures

AI researchers should broaden their approaches, says Luo. In the brain, a variety of architectures coexist and work together to generate general intelligence, while most AI systems rely on a single type of circuit architecture.

“Maybe if AI researchers explore the variety of architectures that exist in the brain, they will be inspired to design new ways to put multiple architectures together to build better systems than is possible with a single architecture,” he said.

Stanford HAI’s mission is to advance AI research, education, policy and practice to improve the human condition. Learn more.

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Godox launches the Godox V86III, featuring a forward-facing modeling light Wed, 01 Sep 2021 08:33:43 +0000

Godox has just announced an updated version of the Godox V860II, the Godox V860III. Also known as Flashpoint Zoom Li-ion III R2 TTL, this new product includes all the same features as the existing flash, but adds a new front-facing modeling light.

Godox is renowned for producing good quality lighting products at affordable prices – and the V860III looks no different. With an MSRP of $ 229, this flash features improved battery life, a quick release lock, and a “quick switch” for smooth light control.